Mercyhurst
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 66.3145Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Kent State MAC ( 6- 6, 76.1) 9-17 225 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 1-10, 73.5) 4-21 305 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 9- 4, 81.0) 5-22 311 A Iona Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 73.1) 9-14 314 A New Haven Northeast ( 2- 8, 70.2) 11-14 321 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 1-10, 62.7) 16- 7 325 A Le Moyne Northeast (10- 2, 77.4) 1-18 328 H Stonehill Northeast ( 7- 6, 77.0) 8-23 404 H Wagner Northeast ( 4- 7, 74.2) 11-18 408 H Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast ( 7- 6, 71.5) 411 A Howard (DC) Northeast ( 3- 9, 68.3) 418 H Delaware State Northeast ( 0-12, 59.2) 422 H Robert Morris MAC ( 4- 8, 75.8) 425 A LIU Northeast ( 7- 5, 74.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 A Kent State 9-17 -8 -11 + 2.96
225 H Duquesne 4-21 -17 -6 --- -8.02
305 A Canisius 5-22 -17 -16 0.00
311 A Iona 9-14 -5 -8 + 3.03
314 A New Haven 11-14 -3 -5 + 2.08
321 A Central Connecticut 16- 7 9 2 +++ 6.60
325 A Le Moyne 1-18 -17 -12 -1.71
328 H Stonehill 8-23 -15 -9 -- -4.57
404 H Wagner 11-18 -7 -7 -0.38
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Duquesne 4-21 -17 -6 --- -8.02 328 H Stonehill 8-23 -15 -9 -- -4.57 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Central Connecticut 16- 7 9 2 +++ 6.60 214 A Kent State 9-17 -8 -11 + 2.96 311 A Iona 9-14 -5 -8 + 3.03 314 A New Haven 11-14 -3 -5 + 2.08 |
Mercyhurst Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | Akron | Akron 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Albany | Albany | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Albany | |
| American | American | American | ||
| Arizona State | Arizona State | Arizona State | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Austin Peay | Austin Peay | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Austin Peay | |
| Binghamton | Binghamton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Binghamton | |
| Boston College | Boston College | Boston College | ||
| Boston University | Boston University | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Boston University | |
| Brown | Brown | Brown | ||
| Bryant | Bryant | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bryant | |
| Bucknell | Bucknell | Bucknell | ||
| Butler | Butler | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Butler | |
| California | California | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | California | |
| Campbell | Campbell | Campbell | ||
| Canisius | Canisius | Canisius | ||
| Central Connecticut | Mercyhurst | Mercyhurst | ||
| Central Michigan | Central Michigan | Central Michigan | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina | ||
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | Columbia | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | Connecticut | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dartmouth | |
| Davidson | Davidson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Davidson | |
| Delaware | Delaware | Delaware | ||
| Delaware State | Mercyhurst | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Mercyhurst | |
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Mercyhurst | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mercyhurst | |
| Drexel | Drexel | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Drexel | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Duquesne | Duquesne | Duquesne | ||
| East Carolina | East Carolina | East Carolina | ||
| Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Eastern Michigan | |
| Elon | Elon | Elon | ||
| Fairfield | Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fairfield | |
| Fairleigh Dickinson | Fairleigh Dickinson | Fairleigh Dickinson 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Florida State | Florida State | Florida State | ||
| Furman | Furman | Furman | ||
| Gardner Webb | Gardner Webb | Gardner Webb | ||
| George Mason | George Mason | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | George Mason | |
| George Washington | George Washington | George Washington | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Hofstra | Hofstra | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hofstra | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holy Cross | |
| Howard (DC) | Howard (DC) | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Howard (DC) | |
| Iona | Iona | Iona | ||
| Jacksonville | Jacksonville | Jacksonville | ||
| James Madison | James Madison | James Madison | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | ||
| Kent State | Kent State | Kent State | ||
| La Salle | La Salle | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | La Salle | |
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Le Moyne | Le Moyne | Le Moyne | ||
| Lehigh | Lehigh | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lehigh | |
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Lindenwood | Lindenwood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lindenwood | |
| LIU | LIU | LIU 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Longwood | Longwood | Longwood | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | Loyola (MD) | ||
| Manhattan | Manhattan | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Manhattan | |
| Marist | Marist | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Marist | |
| Marquette | Marquette | Marquette | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Massachusetts | Massachusetts | Massachusetts | ||
| Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | Massachusetts-Lowell | ||
| Mercer | Mercer | Mercer | ||
| Merrimack | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Monmouth (NJ) | Monmouth (NJ) | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Monmouth (NJ) | |
| Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys | Mount St Marys 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| New Hampshire | New Hampshire | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Hampshire | |
| New Haven | New Haven | New Haven | ||
| Niagara | Niagara | Niagara 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn | Penn | Penn | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| Presbyterian | Presbyterian | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Presbyterian | |
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton | ||
| Queens | Queens | Queens | ||
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Radford | Radford | Radford | ||
| Rhode Island | Rhode Island | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rhode Island | |
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rider | Rider | Rider | ||
| Robert Morris | Robert Morris | Robert Morris 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| Sacred Heart | Sacred Heart | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Sacred Heart | |
| San Diego State | San Diego State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | San Diego State | |
| Siena | Siena | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Siena | |
| South Florida | South Florida | South Florida | ||
| Southern California | Southern California | Southern California | ||
| St Bonaventure | St Bonaventure | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Bonaventure | |
| St Josephs (PA) | St Josephs (PA) | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Josephs (PA) | |
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Stetson | Stetson | Stetson | ||
| Stonehill | Stonehill | Stonehill | ||
| Stony Brook | Stony Brook | Stony Brook | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Temple | Temple | Temple | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UC Davis | UC Davis | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UC Davis | |
| UMBC | UMBC | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UMBC | |
| UNC-Charlotte | UNC-Charlotte | UNC-Charlotte | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| VCU | VCU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | VCU | |
| Vermont | Vermont | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vermont | |
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | ||
| Wagner | Wagner | Wagner | ||
| William & Mary | William & Mary | William & Mary | ||
| Winthrop | Winthrop | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Winthrop | |
| Wofford | Wofford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Wofford | |
| Xavier | Xavier | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Xavier | |
| Yale | Yale | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Yale | |
| Youngstown State | Youngstown State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Youngstown State |
PowerWise = 3
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Kent State ( 6- 6, 76.1) 9-17 -23.85 16.86 1.22 1.38 -15.65
0 H Duquesne ( 1-10, 73.5) 4-21 -26.38 14.32 -1.22 1.38 -19.09
0 A Canisius ( 9- 4, 81.0) 5-22 -18.86 21.85 1.22 1.38 -12.20
0 A Iona ( 3-10, 73.1) 9-14 -26.77 13.94 1.22 1.38 -17.68
0 A New Haven ( 2- 8, 70.2) 11-14 -29.72 10.99 1.22 1.38 -19.72
0 A Central Connec ( 1-10, 62.7) 16- 7 -37.20 3.51 1.22 1.38 13.07
0 A Le Moyne (10- 2, 77.4) 1-18 -22.51 18.20 1.22 1.38 -14.73
0 H Stonehill ( 7- 6, 77.0) 8-23 -22.94 17.77 -1.22 1.38 -16.71
0 H Wagner ( 4- 7, 74.2) 11-18 -25.75 14.96 -1.22 1.38 -18.65
------
-121.36
|
winning pts = 13.0693 losing points = -134.4323
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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